Research
The wage gap between black and white Americans has narrowed between the 1960s and the 1970s, but its progress stalled since 1980. This study argues that routine biased technological change (RBTC) contributed to dampening wage gap convergence in 1980-2000, having a differential impact across races and along the wage distribution. Thus, I present new empirical evidence on occupational patterns by race and on determinants of wage disparities along the wage distribution, and rationalize them with an RBTC model in which firms engage in statistical discrimination. I show that, surprisingly, the share of employment in routine intensive occupations has increased for black workers, in contrast with a significant decrease observed for white workers. I decompose the wage gap changes using the Oaxaca-RIF methodology and show that differences in occupational sorting of the workforce increase wage disparities, thwarting wage convergence between races at the bottom of the wage distribution. Together, these new empirical findings and model provide insights to better understand the mechanisms behind racial disparities at the end of the 20th century.
The Nature of Technological Change 1960-2016 (with Costas Cavounidis, Kevin Lang, and Raghav Malhotra) New draft! (November 2024) Submitted.
Previously: Estimating the Nature of Technological Change: Exploting Shifts in Skill Use Within and Between Occupations. NBER Working Paper No. 29302.
We present a unified technological explanation of both the movement of workers across jobs using different skills and the changes in skill use within jobs. An envelope theorem approach allows us to estimate relative skill-productivity growth from worker mobility using OLS while making minimal assumptions on each occupation’s production function. Using six decades of data, we conclude that routine-cognitive- and finger-dexterity-skill productivity grew rapidly and abstract- and social-skill productivity grew slowly - a form of “skill bias.” These effects, along with our estimated relationships between skill inputs, also explain changes in skill use within occupations.
What are the labor market consequences of changing the legal status of the largest immigrant group in a country? We exploit the enlargement of the European Union in 2007 to study the consequences on the Italian labor market of the permanent legalization of immigrants from Romania and Bulgaria. We adopt an IV-DID design, combining the aforementioned natural experiment with variation in the growth of EU07 migrants across local labor markets, instrumented by the change in the share of migrants in a previous legalization episode. We use a unique administrative employer-employee dataset that covers the universe of private sector workers in Italy, to study firms' responses in terms of personnel choices, and how their productivity and investments are affected. We find short-lived effects (2 years) on firm-level employment: an increase for EU07 migrants, at the expenses of natives, accompanied by a rise in hirings and separations for the former, and a corresponding drop for the latter. We provide evidence that the findings are mainly driven by the migrants’ legal status change, rather than by the arrival of new workers in the country. We also observe a reduction in per-capita labor costs, revenues and operative added value, confirming that the effects are probably driven by the legalization of previously undocumented workers.
Occupational mobility and racial inequality post COVID-19
Education and skill investment (with Costas Cavounidis, Kevin Lang, and Raghav Malhotra)
Bad Apple or Rotten Tree? The Relative Effects of Officers vs. Commanders on Police Complaints and Use of Force (with Andrew Bacher-Hicks and Elijah de la Campa)
The effect of Stop and Frisk on school choice and educational outcomes in NYC